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	<title>Paul Knows Football &#187; NFL Fantasy Football Analysis</title>
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		<title>Premium NFL Football Picks in 2009</title>
		<link>http://paulknowsfootball.com/nfl-fantasy-football-analysis/premium-nfl-football-picks-in-2009-mnf-games-playoffs/</link>
		<comments>http://paulknowsfootball.com/nfl-fantasy-football-analysis/premium-nfl-football-picks-in-2009-mnf-games-playoffs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Jul 2009 02:03:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[NFL Fantasy Football Analysis]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Premium NFL  	Football Picks in 2009 (MNF Games, Playoffs)

-

I am now offering NFL Monday Night Football Picks on a weekly basis.  The cost is $20 US Per/Pick (game).  With my Premium NFL Picks, I strive hard each and every week to pick winners for you, and, myself included.  Premium NFL Picks are researched and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Premium NFL  	Football Picks in 2009 (MNF Games, Playoffs)<br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong>-<br />
</strong></p>
<p align="left">I am now offering NFL Monday Night Football Picks on a weekly basis.  The cost is $20 US Per/Pick (game).  With my Premium NFL Picks, I strive hard each and every week to pick winners for you, and, myself included.  Premium NFL Picks are researched and analyzed more intensely than all other picks onsite, and, are studied against a whole plethora of <a href="http://paulknowsfootball.com/nfl-fantasy-football-analysis/nfl-betting-system-bet-factors/"> bet factors</a> that are not available for the  	free, Sunday game picks.  Bet factors are the largest part of my 	<a href="http://paulknowsfootball.com/betting-system/"> 127-Point PKF NFL Betting System</a>, which I use to predict Premium NFL Pick Winners every week!  With a previous record of 73W-41L, and 13W-4L on Monday Night Football, I am hoping to have an even brighter season this year.  Join me in the winner&#8217;s circle and get the edge on other NFL bettors &#8211; purchase my Premium NFL Monday Night Football Football picks each week and win big in 2009.  Premium picks are delivered via email, immediately after purchase.  Good luck this week!     -Paul</p>
<p align="left"><a href="http://paulknowsfootball.com/premium-nfl-picks/"><strong>Purchase Premium NFL  	Picks &#8211; Monday Night Football Week 1</strong></a></p>

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		<title>Terms and Conditions</title>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Jul 2009 18:33:03 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Free NFL Picks]]></category>
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Terms and Conditions By utilizing this site or information in the Paul Knows Football newsletters, you are agreeing to these terms and conditions. You must be at least 18 years of age to use our services. The information on this site is for your enjoyment and entertainment purposes only. We are not liable [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><label>Terms and Conditions</label></strong></p>
<p>Terms and Conditions By utilizing this site or information in the Paul Knows Football newsletters, you are agreeing to these terms and conditions. You must be at least 18 years of age to use our services. The information on this site is for your enjoyment and entertainment purposes only. We are not liable for any losses that incurred as a result of the information purchased through this website. This is not a betting site. Information and recommendations made are for entertainment and informational purposes only. This information is not intended to violate any local, state, or federal laws. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any reliance on such information and recommendations is at the sole discretion and risk of the subscriber. Once leaving our site, you are responsible for your actions on other sites that may link from this site. We do not control the content or services of other websites and do not encourage any participation in services offered by other websites. Please review the laws in your state and country. You are solely responsible for your actions and use of information from this site and for your actions once you leave this site.</p>

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		<title>NFL Betting System &#8211; Bet Factors</title>
		<link>http://paulknowsfootball.com/nfl-fantasy-football-analysis/nfl-betting-system-bet-factors/</link>
		<comments>http://paulknowsfootball.com/nfl-fantasy-football-analysis/nfl-betting-system-bet-factors/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 May 2009 23:48:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[NFL Fantasy Football Analysis]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[An Example  of some Bet Factors Analyzed by PKF:
 
 
 
1.  General Statistics
a.  Offense – total, pass, rush, points scored, 3rd down %
b.  Defense – total, pass, rush, points allowed, 3rd down
c. Points  scored on the road vs. points scored at home
d. 2006 &#38; 2007 turnover ratio
e. Quarterback Passing/Rushing/Rating (2006 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>An Example  of some Bet Factors Analyzed by PKF:</strong></p>
<p align="center"><strong> </strong></p>
<p align="left"><strong> </strong></p>
<p align="left"><strong> </strong></p>
<p align="justify">1.  General Statistics</p>
<p align="justify">a.  Offense – total, pass, rush, points scored, 3<sup>rd</sup> down %</p>
<p align="justify">b.  Defense – total, pass, rush, points allowed, 3<sup>rd</sup> down</p>
<p align="justify">c. Points  scored on the road vs. points scored at home</p>
<p align="justify">d. 2006 &amp; 2007 turnover ratio</p>
<p align="justify">e. Quarterback Passing/Rushing/Rating (2006 &amp; 2007)</p>
<p align="justify">f. Interceptions vs. Interceptions thrown (2006 &amp; 2007)</p>
<p align="justify">g. Sacks vs. Sacks allowed (2006 &amp; 2007)</p>
<p align="justify">2. Wins &amp; Loses (2006  &amp; 2007)</p>
<p align="justify">a.  overall season wins/losses</p>
<p align="justify">b.  playoff appearances/wins</p>
<p align="justify">c. home  &amp; road wins/losses</p>
<p align="justify">d.  Primetime Games wins/losses</p>
<p align="justify">e.  Divisional wins/losses</p>
<p align="justify">f.  conference wins/losses</p>
<p align="justify">g.  interconference wins/losses</p>
<p align="justify">h. West  Coast/East Coast travel wins/losses</p>
<p align="justify">3.  Skill</p>
<p align="justify">a.  Overall skill player ranking (out of 32 teams – determined week of game)</p>
<p align="justify">b. Number  of impact players (impact players &#8211; determined week of game)</p>
<p align="justify">c.  Quarterback</p>
<p align="justify">1. Arm  strength</p>
<p align="justify">2.  Accuracy rating (2006 &amp; 2007)</p>
<p align="justify">3.  Mobility</p>
<p align="justify">4.  Success % vs. overall defenses ranked 1 to 10</p>
<p align="justify">d.  Starting RB based on rushing statistics (2006 &amp; 2075)</p>
<p align="justify">e.  Defensive Sacks/Hurries vs. QB mobility</p>
<p align="justify">f.  Defensive Interceptions vs. QB skill within a given system</p>
<p align="justify">4.  QB Experience</p>
<p align="justify">a. Rookie or Veteran  status</p>
<p align="justify">b. Years in league</p>
<p align="justify">c. Years as a starter</p>
<p align="justify">d. overall regular season win  % as a starter</p>
<p align="justify">e. win % where game is to be  played</p>
<p align="justify">f. win % against opposing  team</p>
<p align="justify">g. Playoff Experience</p>
<p align="justify">h. Super Bowl Experience</p>
<p align="justify">i. QB Primetime Game  experience</p>
<p align="justify">j. win % vs. opposing  coach</p>
<p align="justify">5.  Head Coach</p>
<p align="justify">a. years  in league</p>
<p align="justify">b. years  with team</p>
<p align="justify">c. head  coaching experience</p>
<p align="justify">d. head  coaching home/road win %</p>
<p align="justify">e. head  coach primetime game win %</p>
<p align="justify">f.  Offensive or Defensive background</p>
<p align="justify">g. Has  previously coached “X” players on opposing team</p>
<p align="justify">h. Has  previously coached opposing team</p>
<p align="justify">i. win %  where game is to be played</p>
<p align="justify">j. win %  vs. opposing team</p>
<p align="justify">k. win %  vs. opposing head coach</p>
<p align="justify">l.  playoff win %; if applicable</p>
<p align="justify">6. Special Teams</p>
<p align="justify">a. FG %  (2007)</p>
<p align="justify">b. FG  attempted (2007)</p>
<p align="justify">c. Punt  Average (2007)</p>
<p align="justify">d.  Kicks/Punts Returned for TD (2007)</p>
<p align="justify">e. TD  allowed on special teams (2007)</p>
<p align="justify">f. total  punts (2007)</p>
<p align="justify">g. total  kickoffs (2007)</p>
<p align="justify">h. total  career kick/punt returns by a player</p>
<p align="justify">7. Injuries</p>
<p align="justify">a. total  season-ending injuries (2007)</p>
<p align="justify">b. career  season-ending injuries to a QB</p>
<p align="justify">c.  current minor injuries</p>
<p align="justify">d.  performances with current injuries</p>
<p align="justify">e.  injuries (out of lineup)</p>
<p align="justify">f.  key-player injuries (key players determined in week of game)</p>
<p align="justify">g.  players coming off an injury</p>
<p align="justify">h.  player’s history of games played when coming off an injury</p>
<p align="justify">i.  player’s significance in games played coming off an injury</p>
<p align="justify">8. Divisional Games</p>
<p align="justify">a.  rivalries</p>
<p align="justify">b.  all-time record of rivalry</p>
<p align="justify">c.  current strength of rivalry</p>
<p align="justify">d.  current players understanding of rivalry</p>
<p align="justify">e.  current players 2007 performance against rival</p>
<p align="justify">f. sweep  the previous season?</p>
<p align="justify">g. Totem  pole placement within division (2004 &#8211; 2007)</p>
<p align="justify">9. Venue</p>
<p align="justify">a.  outdoor or indoor</p>
<p align="justify">b.  natural or artificial surface</p>
<p align="justify">c. domed  or no dome</p>
<p align="justify">d.  loudness rating</p>
<p align="justify">e. is  stadium new? (2000 to 2007stats)</p>
<p align="justify">f. win %  in similar venues (2004 to 2007)</p>
<p align="justify">g. home  team’s win % in venue (2004 to 2007)</p>
<p align="justify">h. home  team win % in venue based on month (2003 to 2007)</p>
<p align="justify">10. Overall Coaching</p>
<p align="justify">a. rating  of head coach</p>
<p align="justify">b. rating  of offensive &amp; defensive coordinators</p>
<p align="justify">c. number  of first year offensive &amp; defensive coordinator on team</p>
<p align="justify">d. first  year coordinator’s previous title/experience</p>
<p align="justify">e.  previous records between offensive &amp; defensive coordinators</p>
<p align="justify">f.  significance of new coordinator (2006 to 2007)</p>
<p align="justify">11. Personnel</p>
<p align="justify">a. key  off season pickups</p>
<p align="justify">b. 2006  NFL draft</p>
<p align="justify">c.  significance of rookies – Rounds 1 to 3 (drafted players)</p>
<p align="justify">d. team’s  history of success with the draft</p>
<p align="justify">e. head  coaches’ success history with rookies</p>
<p align="justify">f. head  coaches success history with draft</p>
<p align="justify">g. head  coaches utilization history with free agent pickups</p>
<p align="justify">h. head  coaches past utilization of rookie players</p>
<p align="justify">12. Weather (projected)</p>
<p align="justify">a. Head  coaches win % in cold/mild/hot weather (2006 &amp; 2007)</p>
<p align="justify">b. QB win  % in cold/mild/hot weather (2006 &amp; 2007)</p>
<p align="justify">c. head  coach win % in snow/rain games</p>
<p align="justify">d. QB win  % in snow/rain games</p>
<p align="justify">e.  hometown venue climate vs. away venue climate</p>
<p align="justify">f.  propensity for strong wind</p>
<p align="justify">g.  altitude with regards to weather</p>
<p align="justify"><strong>AND MANY, MANY MORE FACTORS, THAT WILL NOT  BE DISCLOSED TO THE PUBLIC &#8211; THIS IS WHAT MAKES MY SYSTEM SO IN-DEPTH &amp;  CONCLUSIVE.  I LOOK AT ALL OF THE NORMAL FACTORS, AND THEN  GO THE EXTRA 100  YARDS TO BRING YOU THE BEST POSSIBLE INSIGHT AND PRO FOOTBALL PICKS.</strong></p>

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